"The Cuban model is not going to leave Peru quiet" "The Cuban model is not going to leave Peru quiet" Political analyst, strategist and writer Gustavo Lechin Bolivian Castro warned of experiments in Peru. "Be vigilant," said Milagros Leiva GÁLVEZ Trade Chavez has said that if he wins there will be civil war ... Capriles Capriles and beat Chavez, the numbers give that.
So today he estimates Chavez goes home? I think not. There will be problems. In Venezuela there is fraud, was made years Badging Express; were distributed cards if you came with two people and so many Chavistas have achieved double and triple card. If you own the Congress, the police, the Supreme Court, why lose?
Are the people who are voting for what is going to allow Capriles? There's the rub. Capriles I think will win easily by 6 points in the polls, but it did Chavez carnetización fraud, some observers argue that Chavez controls fraud is 8% to 10%, can control up to a million and a half votes. I am a witness in Bolivia how Venezuelans, two months after having climbed Evo Morales, Bolivian identification took to do the same procedure. A whole organized system ... Yeah That model have exported to Ecuador, Nicaragua, and being exported to Argentina will try here. According to statements by the Cuban Ambassador Osorio, who was last year, in Peru there are 250 homes Cuban-Peruvian friendship and six thousand teachers helping Cubans.
Six thousand teachers? Cubans? Osorio says. What do the Cubans in Peru and what have 250 houses of friendship? Do not you think that something is happening? More troubling was published in the magazine Us last Saturday: Raygada Venezuelan ambassador said: "Peru has signed agreements with Venezuela and if he wins Capriles, many of these agreements could fall into a kind of review." Why some agreements between states could be revised? He also says: "In the military area there is a dynamic exchange of experiences." What kind of experience? That, then. What kind of services can exchange experiences and Venezuelan and Peruvian armies? That President Humala explain what the dynamic relationships that have the Peruvian army in Venezuela, what types of services are provided, how many times the military travel to Venezuela and Cuba, that we know. Care. At stake are big silvers.
Ollanta is fooling us?? Actually I do not know, it's up to the Peruvians analyze it well. What do you think? Some say that the government of Ollanta is awkward. This is an analysis if you believe that to be successful is to be proactive in the economy and continue the pattern, but if in the place of the parameter of the economy put disassemble a model and implement other, I see that not as unwise. Why do you say that? The Cuban model consists of two actions: a gradual dismantling and rapid polarization. Just upload the president changes the military high command. Another point: the economy deflates, to empower policy. Just upload the government, Conga and they will not send a message to all investors of slowing its projects in Peru. Ollanta is supposed to be saying yes Conga, Santos stopped him ... But therein lies the debate. Tell an investor that the government is fighting a regional president and wins. That's a sign I should be cautious in my investments. Another Cuban model: change the country's agenda of economic success had a political agenda. President Humala rises and speaks mainly about politics, social movements, conflict. What stage of economy, who emerge? Entrepreneurs, entrepreneurs shine. When you talk about political conflict, who have the lead? Leaders. Santos was a guy who lived in Havana, today is the natural opponent Humala.
Do not forget the second monotema: pardon to Fujimori Fujimori ... Take it as a political strategy. My task is to warn, suspect. The Chavista model principle, Castro's electoral continuity. My enemy in this scenario is the most powerful because Fujimori has a hard vote of 25%, a popular vote. I hit to Fujimori, invalidating. How? It must be polarized. Ollanta? Puts the issue of clemency to polarize to Peru? When putting on the agenda there is a polarization, back to 2000. With Keiko no where to attack because it is quite correct, when you bring the father to pardon polarizas, I go back to the past of the father, the Colina group, corruption. Hit regardless indulten it or not is merly bullshit.
If as he says, are nothing intelligent Fujimori. Yes they are, but nobody notices in Latin America, not a problem of the Fujimori. In Bolivia also noticed. They told me I was dreaming, knew not the cunning of Cubans. Is that what's going on in Peru? The Cuban model is not going to leave Peru quiet. That they seem clumsy, I see it as political successes; remove themes to put in important positions to certain actors that did not exist, to Santos, for example. A endilga Ollanta is always blunders, you are wrong ... You do not believe so awkward ... I think not. If it's awkward, their blunders are so accurate and so well structured that is favoring those who want to dismantle the existing model.
Returning to Fujimori. What would checkmate?,? Pardon? I do not know, friction is gain. Fujimori Humala? Pardon? I do not know, I can not read where you are going ... can give pardons, granjearte the anger of your allies ... but Fujimori prisoner can not be keep banging the Keiko Fujimori because a lady is centered ... Carlos Tapia said the other day that Humala suited him to pardon him now and not near the 2016. What do you read Carlos Tapia? That right out polarizas Fujimori, hide other issues and put in permanent friction ring. When you have the intention to dismantle the country to stay in power and make political continuity, do some things very holy. Humala has not given any major concession or mining or water or oil. Everything is stopped and that suits to remove the existing economic model. A young man asks what matters to Castro ray Peru. What is the gain? Okay, big question. We put people and the rent, that have been made in America.
Explain that model. In Venezuela there are 70 thousand Cubans declared by Chavez, Venezuela pays for each teacher Cuban intelligence, bodyguard, doctor-an amount to the Cuban State. Cuba rent people. It does also in Ecuador, Bolivia and Argentina. There are 6000 teachers in Peru, who will pay?, Fidel?? Does the Peruvian State is 'renting' Cubans? According to Ambassador Osorio proudly declared before leaving last year, have come since 2006 thousand teachers a year to Peru. Who pays? What Chavez wins? Chavez wants control, feels the new Fidel Castro, the new Latin American caudillo. The Peru believes that geographical nature of God and the lighting will save, the biggest mistake is naive ignorance. The political class can not go on thinking we are living normal times, we are in an exceptional moment. We must analyze.
In conclusion, you see danger. I love Peru and I do not want to see the project in the hands of Cuban socialism. I'd like to see a crime uncontrollable Peru and Venezuela, with a people who must stoke the president for lunch, with thousands and thousands of exiles. I would not wish on any country. Do you believe in Ollanta roadmap? Unfortunately I became an atheist at age 12. I try to look for evidence and I know that Cubans and Venezuelans will not stop. Do not be the slightest doubt, is an expansive model, aggressive, not a matter of saying I'm vaccinated. What was your first alert? The Ministry of Education. Do not forget that as soon as the Government Humala was immediately rose to Cuba's Minister of Education. Toditos were. Why Cuba? You can make your chamba against illiteracy without messing with people as aggressive as Castro are having their own agenda. What were they?
Do you think that Cuban intelligence is operating in Peru? Yes, no Cuban intelligence never ceases to operate in Latin America. They are extremely active, choose culture, military and education, three places put tooth with agents that do not seem to agents. Gregory? Santos is an agent? I do not know. Do you see opportunities? Depends on how to decompose the country and how much is radicalized. The last thing I want to Peru's what happens in Venezuela.
Is the promotion of Nadine is the test for continuity? It's too early to tell. As a strategist I would have to see how he reacts Peru to what we are doing, to see if we promote a constitutional change. So it is so important to the future of Venezuela, Capriles not only wins if it begins to have power to raise the government, will be the first out to celebrate.
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